Showing 21–30 of 34 matching strategies
Evidence: WeakProfessional
Volatility Regime Switch
trend when it is quiet, fade when it is loudA tempting idea: measure the volatility regime, and run a trend strategy in one regime and a mean-reversion strategy in the other. Two books of this library, switched by one number.
H4 regime · H1 executionVolatility · Regime
Evidence: ModerateProfessional
Pyramiding a Daily Trend
add to it, but only with the market's moneyEvery page in this book so far takes one position and manages it. This one takes a small position and adds to it as the trend pays, so the largest exposure sits on the trade that has already proven itself.
D1 · the underlying trend signal can be any of the trend pages in this librarySwing · Position building
Evidence: ModerateProfessional
Real-Yield Regime Gate
gold's most reliable relationship, used as a filterGold pays nothing. Holding it costs you whatever a safe inflation-protected bond would have paid, so when that real yield rises, gold becomes more expensive to hold, and when it falls, cheaper. The inverse relationship between gold and real yields is the most durable thing anyone has found about the gold price.
D1 gate · H4 execution · positions held daysGold · Macro regime
Evidence: WeakProfessional
Gold–Silver Ratio Reversion
two metals, one numberDivide the gold price by the silver price and you get a number that traders have watched for a century. When it is historically high, the trade is to sell gold and buy silver; when low, the reverse.
D1 · held weeksMetals · Spread
Evidence: StrongProfessional
Surprise-Scaled Reaction
the number against the forecast, not the numberA release on its own carries no information. What moves price is the gap between what printed and what was expected — and the size of that gap, measured against how large surprises usually are for that release.
M1 execution · the surprise computed before the releaseNews · Event
Evidence: ModerateProfessional
Spike Fade
when the reaction outruns the surprisePrice adjustment to a release is concentrated in the first minute. Inside that minute, orders are filled at whatever is available rather than at anything considered — which is how a small surprise produces a move the size of a large one.
M1 executionNews · Mean reversion
Evidence: ModerateProfessional
Liquidity Recovery Entry
let the spread come back firstEvery other approach to a release argues about direction. This one argues about time: liquidity provision and the cost of trading return to their pre-announcement levels within roughly five to fifteen minutes of a release.
M5 execution · the release timed on M1News · Event
Evidence: WeakProfessional
The Pre-Release Straddle
the strategy the research argues againstPlace a buy stop above the market and a sell stop below it a few minutes before a release, and let whichever way it jumps fill you. It is the first idea almost everybody has about trading news, and it is on this page because it deserves a straight answer rather than being left off the list.
M1 · orders placed before the releaseNews · Event
Evidence: ModerateProfessional
The Arithmetic of a Challenge
what the fee has to buy before any of this is worth doingBefore a single trade, a challenge is a purchase. You pay a fee for the option to trade someone else's capital under constraints, and whether that is a good purchase is a calculation you can do in advance.
Any — the decision is made before a timeframe is chosenProp firm · Expectancy
Evidence: StrongProfessional
Classic Currency Carry
long the high rate, short the low oneBorrow in a currency with a low interest rate, hold one with a high rate, and pocket the difference. Uncovered interest parity says the high-rate currency should fall by exactly enough to cancel that out. It does not — a finding so robust it has its own name, the forward premium puzzle, and so old it is now approaching fifty years of replication.
Monthly rebalance · positions held for monthsCarry · Cross-sectional