Volatility-Normalised Momentum
momentum in units of its own noiseRaw momentum is a trap: a fixed percentage move is enormous in a quiet market and entirely ordinary in a volatile one. A fixed threshold has no idea which regime it is in.
Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.
Showing 1–10 of 10 matching strategies
Raw momentum is a trap: a fixed percentage move is enormous in a quiet market and entirely ordinary in a volatile one. A fixed threshold has no idea which regime it is in.
The full validated sequence: liquidity taken → displacement → break of structure → retracement → confirmation.
A structure break is supposed to confirm continuation, which is exactly what makes a failed one informative. Price takes out the last swing high, everyone treats it as confirmation, and then it closes back below.
The initial balance is the high-low range of a session's first hour — that session's first two-sided auction.
A sharp move ends on one enormous bar with far more activity than anything around it, and the reading offered is that the last holders capitulated into buyers who were waiting.
A tempting idea: measure the volatility regime, and run a trend strategy in one regime and a mean-reversion strategy in the other. Two books of this library, switched by one number.
Every page in this book so far takes one position and manages it. This one takes a small position and adds to it as the trend pays, so the largest exposure sits on the trade that has already proven itself.
Gold pays nothing. Holding it costs you whatever a safe inflation-protected bond would have paid, so when that real yield rises, gold becomes more expensive to hold, and when it falls, cheaper. The inverse relationship between gold and real yields is the most durable thing anyone has found about the gold price.
Divide the gold price by the silver price and you get a number that traders have watched for a century. When it is historically high, the trade is to sell gold and buy silver; when low, the reverse.
Every other approach to a release argues about direction. This one argues about time: liquidity provision and the cost of trading return to their pre-announcement levels within roughly five to fifteen minutes of a release.
The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.
The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.
Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.
It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.
One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.
Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.
Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.
The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.
Reading the library is free. A plan is what lets you turn one into a robot.
Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.