Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.
Showing 1–5 of 5 matching strategies
Momentum's failures are not spread evenly. They arrive as crashes — short, violent periods where the losers rally hardest and a momentum book loses more in weeks than it made in years.
Every band on this page is a z-score wearing a costume. This page takes the costume off: z = (price − mean) ÷ standard deviation, computed over a fixed lookback, and the rule is a number rather than a line on a chart.
This is the one strategy in the book where the entry is deliberately dull. A moving-average trend rule, nothing clever. What makes it work is that the position size is set so every trade risks the same amount of volatility, not the same number of lots.
Before a single trade, a challenge is a purchase. You pay a fee for the option to trade someone else's capital under constraints, and whether that is a good purchase is a calculation you can do in advance.
Kelly's 1956 result gives the position size that maximises the long-run growth rate of an account, given the odds. It is a real theorem and the answer is exact.
The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.
The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.
Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.
It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.
One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.
Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.
Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.
The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.
Reading the library is free. A plan is what lets you turn one into a robot.
Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.
