Moving Average Envelope
a fixed percentage, on purposeAn envelope is a moving average with a fixed percentage band around it — not a standard deviation, not an ATR multiple. A half-percent envelope is half a percent whatever volatility is doing.
Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.
Showing 21–30 of 32 matching strategies
An envelope is a moving average with a fixed percentage band around it — not a standard deviation, not an ATR multiple. A half-percent envelope is half a percent whatever volatility is doing.
In an efficient market, the act of trading leaves a trace. Buyers lift the ask and sellers hit the bid, so observed prices alternate between the two sides even when nothing about the instrument has changed. Roll showed this produces negative serial correlation in consecutive price changes — and that the size of it measures the spread itself.
Intraday volatility in FX is not flat and it is not random across the day. It follows a shape driven by which financial centres are awake, and that shape is one of the most stable patterns in the whole market — stable enough that high-frequency researchers have to remove it before they can model anything else.
Three consecutive daily closes in one direction is not rare, but three consecutive closes against an established uptrend is, and the fourth day resolves it one way or the other.
A daily level breaks. Most traders are in on the break. This one is not — it waits for price to come back to the level it just broke and hold it.
Buy a new twenty-day high. Sell a new twenty-day low. There is no filter, no oscillator and no opinion, and versions of this have been traded since the 1960s.
Gold's reputation as a safe haven is half deserved, and the half that is deserved is very specific. Baur and Lucey's work drew the distinction that matters: a hedge is uncorrelated on average, a safe haven is uncorrelated exactly when equities fall hard. Gold is both, but the safe-haven behaviour lasts days, not months.
A release on its own carries no information. What moves price is the gap between what printed and what was expected — and the size of that gap, measured against how large surprises usually are for that release.
The standard three-timeframe structure, written out properly. The daily chart decides whether you may trade and in which direction. The four-hour decides where. The fifteen-minute decides when.
A stripped-down version of the previous page, and in some ways a more honest one. There is no trend filter at all. There is a level that many people can see on a slow chart, and there is a fast chart used only to enter near it with a small stop.
The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.
The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.
Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.
It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.
One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.
Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.
Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.
The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.
Reading the library is free. A plan is what lets you turn one into a robot.
Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.