Strategy library

Rules you can check before you trade them.

Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.

Showing 41–50 of 52 matching strategies

Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Volatility Contraction Breakout

the range narrows, then gives way

Ranges do not narrow at random. A market that has stopped moving is a market where the two sides have run out of disagreement, and that state does not last — the next expansion arrives, usually soon, because volatility clusters.

H1 primary · H4 for contextVolatility · Expansion
Evidence: StrongIntermediate

Session Volatility Window

trade the hours that actually move

Intraday volatility in FX is not flat and it is not random across the day. It follows a shape driven by which financial centres are awake, and that shape is one of the most stable patterns in the whole market — stable enough that high-frequency researchers have to remove it before they can model anything else.

M15 or H1 executionVolatility · Seasonality
Evidence: ModerateBeginner

Daily Trend Pullback

buy the dip inside a trend that already exists

The most-traded idea in the market, and the one most often traded badly. A trend is running; price pauses against it; you join at the pause rather than at the extreme.

D1 signal · H4 for the entry trigger if you want oneSwing · Continuation
Evidence: ModerateBeginner

Three-Day Reversal

three closes the same way, then the turn

Three consecutive daily closes in one direction is not rare, but three consecutive closes against an established uptrend is, and the fourth day resolves it one way or the other.

D1 onlySwing · Reversal
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Daily Breakout Retest

let the break go, buy the return

A daily level breaks. Most traders are in on the break. This one is not — it waits for price to come back to the level it just broke and hold it.

D1 level · H4 for the retest triggerSwing · Continuation
Evidence: ModerateBeginner

New 20-Day High Continuation

the oldest systematic trade there is

Buy a new twenty-day high. Sell a new twenty-day low. There is no filter, no oscillator and no opinion, and versions of this have been traded since the 1960s.

D1 only · held for weeksSwing · Breakout
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Risk-Off Safe Haven Entry

buying gold on the day equities break

Gold's reputation as a safe haven is half deserved, and the half that is deserved is very specific. Baur and Lucey's work drew the distinction that matters: a hedge is uncorrelated on average, a safe haven is uncorrelated exactly when equities fall hard. Gold is both, but the safe-haven behaviour lasts days, not months.

D1 signal · held two to five daysGold · Risk aversion
Evidence: StrongProfessional

Surprise-Scaled Reaction

the number against the forecast, not the number

A release on its own carries no information. What moves price is the gap between what printed and what was expected — and the size of that gap, measured against how large surprises usually are for that release.

M1 execution · the surprise computed before the releaseNews · Event
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Top-Down Alignment

direction from the daily, entry from the intraday

The standard three-timeframe structure, written out properly. The daily chart decides whether you may trade and in which direction. The four-hour decides where. The fifteen-minute decides when.

D1 direction · H4 level · M15 triggerMulti-timeframe · Continuation
Evidence: ModerateIntermediate

Higher-Timeframe Level, Lower-Timeframe Trigger

the level is the edge; the trigger is the discount

A stripped-down version of the previous page, and in some ways a more honest one. There is no trend filter at all. There is a level that many people can see on a slow chart, and there is a fast chart used only to enter near it with a small stop.

D1 or W1 level · M15 triggerMulti-timeframe · Level

What the evidence rating means

Strong

The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.

Moderate

The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.

Weak

Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.

It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.

What the level means

Beginner

One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.

Intermediate

Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.

Professional

Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.

The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.

Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.