Fair Value Gap Fill
the thin patch a fast move leaves behindThree consecutive candles where the first bar's high sits below the third bar's low leave a band of prices that barely traded. Price moved through it too quickly for an auction to happen.
Every strategy carries its exact rules, an annotated chart of the setup, the research behind why it should work at all — and the conditions under which you should not take it.
Showing 21–30 of 33 matching strategies
Three consecutive candles where the first bar's high sits below the third bar's low leave a band of prices that barely traded. Price moved through it too quickly for an auction to happen.
Stops rest above a level. When price takes it with a wick and closes back inside, that is a sweep.
A Keltner channel measures the same distance as a Bollinger band but with a different ruler: average true range instead of standard deviation. Range reacts to gaps and spikes differently from deviation, so the two bands disagree exactly when it matters most.
Two days of news arrive into a market that cannot trade, and on Monday it all prints at once. The opening gap is a single, forced repricing with no liquidity behind it — which is the textbook condition for an overreaction.
A pair has an average daily range, and most days it does not travel much further than that. When price has already covered its whole average range by mid-session, the rest of the day is more likely to be spent going sideways or giving some back than extending.
Ranges do not narrow at random. A market that has stopped moving is a market where the two sides have run out of disagreement, and that state does not last — the next expansion arrives, usually soon, because volatility clusters.
Two ways of measuring the same width disagree in a useful way. Bollinger bands are built from standard deviation, which collapses fast when price goes quiet. The Keltner channel is built from average true range, which collapses slowly.
Intraday volatility in FX is not flat and it is not random across the day. It follows a shape driven by which financial centres are awake, and that shape is one of the most stable patterns in the whole market — stable enough that high-frequency researchers have to remove it before they can model anything else.
A daily level breaks. Most traders are in on the break. This one is not — it waits for price to come back to the level it just broke and hold it.
Gold's reputation as a safe haven is half deserved, and the half that is deserved is very specific. Baur and Lucey's work drew the distinction that matters: a hedge is uncorrelated on average, a safe haven is uncorrelated exactly when equities fall hard. Gold is both, but the safe-haven behaviour lasts days, not months.
The mechanism has peer-reviewed, FX-specific research behind it.
The mechanism is sound, but at least one step of it is untested.
Practitioner literature only — no published research supports the mechanism.
It rates the mechanism — whether there is published research explaining why the market should behave this way. It does not rate profit. Strong does not mean the trade will work. None of these have been run on our own account, and no page here shows a backtest figure.
One instrument, one timeframe, every rule visible on the chart.
Several conditions have to line up, and execution starts to matter.
Needs an outside data feed, a basket, real order flow, or an unusual tolerance for lumpy losses.
The level describes what it takes to run the strategy, not how well it works. Several Beginner pages are better evidenced than several Professional ones — a basket carry trade is Professional because it needs eight currencies and a swap table, not because it is cleverer than buying a pullback.
Reading the library is free. A plan is what lets you turn one into a robot.
Trading carries risk and most retail accounts lose money. Nothing in this library is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. The charts are illustrations of the rules on constructed candles — they are not records of trades and not backtests.